Monday, February 12, 2001

Our Fearless NCAA Predictions

By Michael Perry
The Cincinnati Enquirer

        Predicted seeds
        1. Duke, Illinois, North Carolina, Stanford
        2. Boston College, Kansas, Michigan State, Tennessee
        3. Iowa, Iowa State, Syracuse, UCLA
        4. Arizona, Kentucky, Virginia, Wisconsin
        5. Georgetown, Mississippi, Notre Dame, Texas
        6. Fresno, Indiana, Maryland, Oklahoma
        7. Georgia, Southern Cal, Wake Forest, Xavier
        8. California, Florida, Missouri, Providence
        9. Alabama, Cincinnati, St. Joseph's, Vanderbilt
        10. Georgia Tech, Ohio State, Purdue, St. John's
        11. Brigham Young, Illinois State, Richmond, Wyoming
        12. Butler, College of Charleston, Creighton, Gonzaga
        13. Central Michigan, Georgia State, Hofstra, UC-Irvine
        14. Austin Peay, Holy Cross, Valparaiso, Western Kentucky
        15. Cal. St.-Northridge, George Mason, Iona, Princeton
        16. Alabama A&M/Radford play-in game, McNeese, Monmouth, South Carolina State

        Ten who could fall out
        Cincinnati, Illinois State, Georgia Tech, Ohio State, Providence, Purdue, Richmond, St. John's, Wake Forest, Wyoming

        Ten who could fall in
        Arkansas, Connecticut, Memphis, Minnesota, Oklahoma State, Penn State, Pepperdine, SMU, TCU, Villanova.

        Final Four favorites
        Arizona, Duke, Illinois, Kansas, Michigan State, North Carolina, Stanford, Tennessee

        Could make a run
        Boston College, Fresno, Georgetown, Iowa State, Maryland, Syracuse, UCLA, Virginia

        Favorite to win it all
        Duke. We picked 'em in the preseason, and there's no reason not to stick with 'em. The Blue Devils are not without flaws, but they still have a preseason Player of the Year candidate (Shane Battier), a current Player of the Year candidate (Jason Williams) and Coach K.

        Ten unique scenarios
        1. Kent (14-7, 8-3 MAC, 112 RPI). 2. Marquette (12-9, 7-3 C-USA, 75 RPI). 3. Massachusetts (10-11, 8-2 A-10, 73 RPI). 4. Memphis (14-9, 8-2 C-USA, 86 RPI). 5. Pepperdine (17-6, 9-1 West Coast, 80 RPI).
        6. Richmond, 16-6, 7-4 Colonial, 63 RPI, not allowed to play in league tournament because it's leaving for A-10 next season; needs at-large bid). 7. Southern Mississippi (16-7, 6-5 C-USA, 70 RPI), 8. South Florida (15-8, 7-3 C-USA, 87 RPI). 9. Toledo (15-8, 7-5 MAC, 72 RPI). 10. Minnesota/Penn State/Purdue/Wake Forest, all have good enough records and high enough RPIs but having losing records in league play).

        Five ranked in the preseason who could/will miss the NCAA
        Arkansas (No. 15), Connecticut (14), DePaul (21), Seton Hall (10), Utah (13)


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